If you asked us, the Conservative Party of Canada largely exhausted its intellectual and philosophical reserves somewhere near the mid-point of the Harper majority.
Perhaps you could expand on this point a bit. I'd be curious to know what happened.
I can tell that your 'snippy' correspondent, and indeed The Line staff, are a little thin on science degrees. When a range-of-outcomes varies by 18:1, that's just over four doublings of a phenomenon that can double in 3 days. The range isn't narrower, not because the scientists don't understand the virus, but because they don't understand Doug Ford, and what he might do.
The graph says that Canada has both Alberta and Nova Scotia, with the same basic people and certainly the same virus. If Ontario behaves like Nova Scotians have, they'll get 500; if they behave like Albertans, they'll get 9000. And the modelers don't know what the hell Ford is going to go with, since he's done both.
The graph says that no matter how hard they try, they can't get to zero. 500 is the bottom. Pity.
The graph says that no matter how stupid they behave, they can't do as badly as Florida, which had 12,000 cases yesterday, normalized down for Ontario's population.
The graph comes with comments, indicating HOW to get 500 instead of 9000: "The scientists called for a decrease to 70 per cent of pre-pandemic contact levels, through reducing indoor capacity, mask policies, working from home and limiting large gatherings."
If "70 of contact levels" is meaningless to you, it's not to the scientists, who can give specific advice on distances, number of people per room, ventilation levels.
They've taken the data they've got - including the historical fact that Conservative premieres have repeatedly chosen catastrophic pandemic responses, like Kenney and his "best summer ever" super-opening with no tracing - and outlined what'll happen if Ford is that stupid, as he might be; they've also outlined how well Ontario could do, and advised how to do it.
If you'd like them to wave a red banner saying "we have to give this wide range because Doug Ford is unpredictable and might be stupid again", can you please chip in to a gofundme for their salary replacement?
Or you could take the very broad hint they're delivering, instead of calling about 20 PhD's stupid. Either 20 PhD's are stupid, or Doug Ford is an unpredictable politician. What does Occan's Razor tell you about that?
If you asked us, the Conservative Party of Canada largely exhausted its intellectual and philosophical reserves somewhere near the mid-point of the Harper majority.
Perhaps you could expand on this point a bit. I'd be curious to know what happened.
I can tell that your 'snippy' correspondent, and indeed The Line staff, are a little thin on science degrees. When a range-of-outcomes varies by 18:1, that's just over four doublings of a phenomenon that can double in 3 days. The range isn't narrower, not because the scientists don't understand the virus, but because they don't understand Doug Ford, and what he might do.
The graph says that Canada has both Alberta and Nova Scotia, with the same basic people and certainly the same virus. If Ontario behaves like Nova Scotians have, they'll get 500; if they behave like Albertans, they'll get 9000. And the modelers don't know what the hell Ford is going to go with, since he's done both.
The graph says that no matter how hard they try, they can't get to zero. 500 is the bottom. Pity.
The graph says that no matter how stupid they behave, they can't do as badly as Florida, which had 12,000 cases yesterday, normalized down for Ontario's population.
The graph comes with comments, indicating HOW to get 500 instead of 9000: "The scientists called for a decrease to 70 per cent of pre-pandemic contact levels, through reducing indoor capacity, mask policies, working from home and limiting large gatherings."
If "70 of contact levels" is meaningless to you, it's not to the scientists, who can give specific advice on distances, number of people per room, ventilation levels.
They've taken the data they've got - including the historical fact that Conservative premieres have repeatedly chosen catastrophic pandemic responses, like Kenney and his "best summer ever" super-opening with no tracing - and outlined what'll happen if Ford is that stupid, as he might be; they've also outlined how well Ontario could do, and advised how to do it.
If you'd like them to wave a red banner saying "we have to give this wide range because Doug Ford is unpredictable and might be stupid again", can you please chip in to a gofundme for their salary replacement?
Or you could take the very broad hint they're delivering, instead of calling about 20 PhD's stupid. Either 20 PhD's are stupid, or Doug Ford is an unpredictable politician. What does Occan's Razor tell you about that?